Friday, June 26, 2015

Why are Many Nordics so Sceptical of Asylum Seekers?

Nordic parties critical of immigration have had astounding successes at the polls recently. The Danish People's Party was the clear winner of the parliamentary elections on June 18, becoming the country's second largest party and nibbling at the bait of participating in a new coalition government before finally pulling out. In Finland the EU-sceptical Finns Party is in government since late May, with four ministers, among them the Foreign Minister. The Norwegian immigration-sceptical Progress Party has been in a government coalition with the Conservatives since 2013.


In Sweden, the anti-immigration Sweden Democrats had a "shocking" success last October (2014) - winning 13% in the parliamentary elections. Their success has caused havoc in the Swedish political landscape, with the other parties scrambling to avoid shaking hands or having any other contact with "the fascists" (as they have repeatedly been called by Prime Minister Stefan Löfvén). Though coming out of a neo-fascist past in the early 1990s, and having some rough elements in their ranks, the Sweden Democrats have since cleaned up their act and follow normal democratic procedures and policies. They have now consistently been polling 18% for several months.


Scepticism of national and EU immigration policies is clearly behind the success of these parties, sometimes labeled "center extremists" - rather than right-wingers - by political scientists who follow them closely. That is because they all emphasize the value of the welfare state, unlike other right wingers.


Nevertheless, reactions outside Scandinavia have been aghast, not least in the United States, but also in the UK. Such reactions are misplaced, in my view. First of all, EU standards for the treatment of asylum seekers are high and generous, and Nordic countries exceed their fulfillment in many casesr. The main reason many North Europeans are critical of the level of immigration is not xenophobia, but the contrast evident between the expense lavished on asylum seekers and the social turbulence they bring. Nordic citizens in increasing numbers take this as signs of ingratitude and a lack of will to adapt to the society receiving them. Nordic citizens also worry about their already overburdened welfare states, and the undermining of traditional values of their countries. Only Norway is exceptionally well off among the Nordics, the others are struggling economically. 

EU asylum policy requires member states to satisfy asylum seekers' basic needs: shelter, food, health care, education for children, even work permits (after a waiting period). These benefits go to applicants whose decisions have not yet been made. Waiting periods can extend to more than a year.


By comparison, according to Human Rights Watch, in the United States "... asylum seekers are ... ineligible to receive nearly any type of government benefit while awaiting a decision on their cases." HRW also claims that "The United States stands alone among developed countries in denying both employment and governmental assistance." (Human Rights Watch, "US: Catch-22 for Asylum Seekers Arbitrary Ban on Working Causes Extreme Hardship and Should be Lifted" Human Rights Watch, November 12, 2013,) The US Government confirms this.*


In Sweden, the minimum for a single asylum seeker living in free accommodation with food provided is 75 euros per month in cash for personal needs. If living on his own outside asylum shelters, he gets 230 euros. In Germany, France and the UK cash benefits are roughly 350 euros a month for individual adults living outside asylum shelters. But Sweden has more to offer for those willing to sign up for language courses and job market training. In such cases, a single mother with three children 12, 13 and 14 years old, seeking asylum and renting a flat, is entitled to nearly 2500 euros a month, a salary roughly like that of a nurse, only tax free!


The Nordic right wing populist parties are mostly recruiting middle of the road voters, not extremists coming out of hiding, as social democrats or others on the left tend to imagine. Many middle of the road voters are getting impatient with the cost, the criminality and the lax justice for asylum-seeking offenders. The example of unaccompanied refugee children in Sweden is typical: While the age limit all over Europe is 18 for this category of refugee (which is given preferential treatment), Sweden has decided not to test their age medically, in order not to offend their "personal integrity". Fraud is often discovered. Norway introduced such tests a few years ago, after first testing an "honors system" which soon proved a failure.


The challenge of the right wing populists to the mainstream parties in Scandinavia is simply, speak frankly, bring the truth out. Both Sweden's previous and present government have refused to discuss touchy issues in parliament, such as the cost of the immigration policy, the abuse of benefits and the rates of crime associated with asylum seekers. Moreover, Swedish cultural self-confidence is often surprisingly low. School principals in many districts with many immigrants have forbidden the use of the Swedish flag at the school and the singing of the national anthem.



The desire of the rebellious populist parties is not a country without immigrants, but (unrealistically) one with fewer immigrants, and especially one in which immigrants respect the local culture and show a will to adapt. In the Nordic countries imigrants will always have ample space for their own culture as well. 

The way for the mainstream parties (Social Democrats, Liberals, Conservatives etc) to stop the populist parties is to take over some of the most sensible "populist" demands and satisfy them. No preferential treatment of immigrants is perhaps a good way to start.  


* NOTE: The United States Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) 
website, under the heading "Obtaining Asylum in the US" says: "Affirmative asylum applicants are rarely detained by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). You may live in the United States while your application is pending before USCIS.  If you are found ineligible, you can remain in the United States while your application is pending with the Immigration Judge.  Most asylum applicants are not authorized to work."

4 comments:

Vetenskap & Politik said...

Thanks for an interesting piece, Olav! However, I do have some comments;
1) Although I don’t have any exact numbers, I think your comparison between a Swedish nurse and a refugee with three children is somewhat misleading. I doubt whether the former really gets more than the refugee. To make the comparison fair, I guess the nurse should be assumed to have three children as well. If so, she will collect an additional approx.350 Euros a month from the government for these children (does not matter what income she or her husband have). Moreover, if she is a single mother, she will most likely get subsidies for part of the apartment rent (could be several hundred Euros a month). Finally, if the father of the children does not pay her for taking care of their children, the state steps in and pay instead. Summing up, I think the nurse is better off, after all (which she should be, I agree)
2) I am quite sure that the voters for SD in Sweden are not all of a similar breed. Although I agree that most of them probably are disappointed "ordinary" people, you will certainly find quite different characters there...
3) I agree that most Swedes probably are skeptical towards immigrants (refugees?) because of the financial burden they cause and because many of them do not have a work to go to. My conclusion is, however, not necessarily that fewer should be allowed to come here, but rather that it has to become easier to get a job etc. Most people, I guess, have no big problems with immigrants as long as they work and "contribute to our society"... To have medical doctors sitting in Metro controls etc. which is quite common in Sweden is a waste, in all respects.
4) In a way, I agree with you that the established political parties should pick up good ideas wherever they emanate from. The Swedish way of treating SD as if it did not exist, is not OK, as I see it. If they have some good ideas, of course those should be picked up. But not as a means to marginalize other parties, but because they were good ideas. After all, politics is/should be about politics and not people.
Best, Björn H

Olav F. Knudsen said...

Björn, I concede the nurse comparison, but note that you seem to agree with my point otherwise. A bit less generous subsidy and more refugees will seek work earnestly instead of living off the dole. The tax break is substantial and not likely to be appreciated by ordinary tax payers. That also responds to your good point about letting them work. Medical doctors wasting their competence in menial jobs is sad, but a doctor needs to know the language of his/her patients, as well as the laws and culture of Swedish medical care.

Vetenskap & Politik said...

Yes, indeed, I do agree with you that decreased subsidies for refugees strengthen incentives to work. In this respect, I guess it doesn't matter if we are talking about refugees or long-time citizens.
But, from a welfare and fairness perspective, this I think is a tricky question. Stronger incentives work when the individual has a real choice between taking a job or not, going to work in the morning rather than staying at home, reporting as not well today etc. If you actually don't have such an opportunity to choose, you are punished without due cause (if you have applied for hundreds of jobs, but dont even get the chance in an interview, possibly because you have a "strange name", it might be understandable if some people feel that they have no actual choice) This does not strike me as particularly fair. I guess the trick is to find mechanisms that put pressures on free-riders, but do not punish people that have done all what could be required, but unfortunately without success. What these mechanisms would look like is the 1000-dollar question, I guess, but have to include both monetary incentives and monitoring. I guess the relation between those means depends on your political ideology...
Best, Björn

Olav F. Knudsen said...

Björn, if you have the choice of staying home rather than going to work, it must mean that someone else is supporting you. In the case we are discussing that's the unemployment benefit or other social benefits, being as high as or higher than the salary of the job. I know people who are doing that. President Clinton got rid of that system in the 90s.