Saturday, November 5, 2016

Trump - a would-be president without precedent?

Once upon a time there was a US presidential candidate who scared the wits out of his opponents by being a champion of the common man, vowing in his campaign to get rid of the corrupt elites in Washington. A famous hero, he at first won the election by the slimmest of margins, and yet was cheated (according to some) out of the prize by a decision in Congress staged by his enemies.

No, this fairy tale is not about the man you may have been thinking of.

It wasn't Al Gore either, he lost his presidency in the US Supreme Court. The man I am referring to went on to win the US presidency twice more - and no, it wasn't FDR either (he won four times). After the Inauguration of the hero of this story, the White House held an open-house reception, to which a huge crowd arrived, celebrating Andrew Jackson's victory. The drunken crowd overflowed the building and brought general chaos, to the point where furniture was broken and porcelain smashed, and the newly elected President had to escape by a side exit. That was the election of 1828. The victor, the 7th US President, was also the founder of the Democratic party.

Hence, despite the disparate party labels, Andrew Jackson and Donald Trump could in some respects be said to be parallel cases, especially in their appeal to people who have felt «betrayed by the system», in the rough crowds both have had supporting them, and in the uncompromising way they both have related to minorities. Jackson pursued the policy of moving entire nations of Native Americans beyond the Mississippi; Trump has promised to ship 11 million illegal immigrants out of the country.

As for party labels, Trump's link to the Republican party is pretty tenuous and not very convincing to many Republicans of longer standing. Is he, then, a closet «populist»? The question is rather tricky, partly due to Trump's inconsistent statements over time, partly because populism is not a consensual term, which also has its special, more concrete meaning in the US, linked to the Populist Party of a century or so ago. The Economist considered the question in an article this summer and concluded Trump's politics was not populism, but rather «[a]n unpleasant but often politically successful mix of populism, nativism and xenophobia, delivered with a dollop of cynicism.” (The Economist, July 4th, 2016) (Nativism, in the sense of giving preference to those born in the country as against foreigners.)

All told, it may be an insult to Andrew Jackson, who at his election was already an experienced politician, a lawyer and a general – a proven military hero - to compare him to a TV personality and real-estate mogul like Donald Trump, an unproven politician who has repeatedly demonstrated himself to be simply a self-obsessed braggard.