Greece finally has a point. Against Germany, no less.
As everyone knows, Greece has made a reputation for
itself as being untruthful and evasive, inter alia by hiding
its unfit condition for the euro back when that system was adopted,
and subsequently by cooking its national budgetary statistics,
triggering a Eurozone crisis in 2009. In consequence Greece has not
exactly been favorably treated by international media. I joined that
chorus (Feb 2nd, 2012). Greece is the black sheep of Europe.
Germany, by contrast, is Europe's star performer. It
is also the country with the heaviest involvement in Greek debt,
voicing the sternest appeals to Greece to live up to its commitments
and stop fooling around. Germany has its public affairs in order; the
Greek government's affairs are chaotic. The Greek Finance Ministry is
barely able to even collect its taxes. In economic matters, Germany
is credible, Greece not.
Therefore, when Greece started talking about German
war reparations from World War II, most reactions around Europe were
skeptical if not downright dismissive. It was seen as trying to talk
about something else to get out of a pinch. I myself, having been
quite harsh in my earlier critique of Greek behavior in the debt and
bailout business, started out viewing these World War II stories with
great suspicion. But I thought they might be worth checking out.
I reasoned the quickest way to get at the truth in
this matter - given all the previous Greek lies and evasions - must
be to listen to what the German government has to say. I was wrong, ending up on a wild goose chase.
The German government's line is surprisingly succinct:
case closed; this is all up and done with, long ago - legally as well
as politically. More specifically, the German argument is that
reparations were paid in 1960, and the German reunification agreement
in 1990 bars any subsequent resumption of the matter. Moreover,
Greece has received a lot of bilateral assistance from Germany over
the years, which in the Federal Government's view must be seen as
relevant to the case. This view has been supported by prominent
commentators on both sides of the Atlantic.
It turns out this defense does not hold up. First,
there is a political dimension to the case. Commentators rejecting the
Greek claims appear to be mostly of the center-right. The other view
initially was held by people of the left. Most prominently, the
former East German communists, the PDS, raised the Greek case in the
Bundestag in 1995. More recently this political split is fading; the
Greek argument is increasingly becoming accepted by people of the
center and right as well.
The best give-away that something is wrong with the
Federal Government's argument has come with German voices of
critique. Leading German publications such as Die Welt (reprinted in
Time Sept 20, 2011) and Der Spiegel (SpiegelOnline, March 15, 2015) have recently demonstrated that the German line does not stand up to
closer examination. The Spiegel account is especially disturbing.
In broad terms, the Greeks have made three claims: 1) reparations for individual suffering (250 000 died during the war), 2) reparations for material damage, and 3) repayment of a forced loan of
476 million Reichsmark (an amount which in today's money adds up to
11 billion euros without interest).
It is true that in 1960 the two governments agreed on
the payment of reparations for the suffering of individuals during
World War II. Greece accepted in that agreement that no more claims
for individual suffering would be made. But other claims, such as
damage to Greece's infrastructure, or the forced loan, are not
included. The BBC has a nice summary:
323 billion euros is owed by Greece to the Eurozone.
162 billion euros is claimed by Greece in
reparations, including 108 billion euros for damaged infrastructure, and 54 billion euros for a forced wartime loan imposed
by Nazi occupiers on Greece.
250 000 Greeks died during the German occupation.
(Source: BBC and Open Europe.)
The realization of the settlement, however, was
postponed, due to American fears of another German economic and
political collapse like that of the interwar years. Ultimately,
another reparations agreement (the London agreement) was entered into
by the same parties in 1953, essentially deciding to defer payment
until the German question (i.e., reunification) was settled.
In 1960 Greece and Germany concluded an agreement of
reparations to individual victims of the conduct of the Wehrmacht
during the war, in the sum of 115 million DM, and with the proviso
that no further claims for the suffering of individuals would be
made.
In 1965, the Greek government sent Andreas Papandreou
on a mission to the West German government in Bonn to raise the
matter of the outstanding reparations and the forced loan. By
Papandreou's own account, "I went to Bonn in 1965 and met
Chancellor Ludwig Erhard to discuss, as I was instructed by the
Cabinet of the Government of my father, George Papandreou, the issue
of reparations and the return of the loan. Mr Erhard acknowledged
that our claims were rightful, but he told me that he could not do
anything until there is a peace agreement. He did not agree to
exactly return to us the loan, but clearly recognized the right basis
of our claim, the satisfaction of which was referred in the future
tense, after signing a peace agreement." (Retold in the Greek
publication Investor in 2010
and 2013.)
A legal study put it this way: "The question of reparations, which had been postponed until the formal entering into force of a peace treaty with Germany, is not finally solved. A formal peace treaty could be seen in the 1990 Treaty of Moscow, the so-called 2+4 Treaty. However, this treaty did not regulate the question of reparations, at least not with regard to Greece. First of all, the question of reparations was not mentioned at all. Secondly, the 2+4 Treaty was only signed by the two German states and the four former Allied States, i.e. the Soviet Union, the United States, the United Kingdom and France. According to the pacta tertiis rule laid down in Art. 34 VCLT [Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties], the signatories could not settle the question of reparations with binding force for third states." (p. 490*) In short, the way was open for Greece to raise its claims of reparations again.
Greece did not give up, and presented a formal diplomatic note in 1995 raising the matter of reparations and the loan once more. The German government again rejected the Greek approach. In a statement before the Bundestag in January 1996, responding to questions from the PDS party representatives, the Federal Government rejected all suggestions that Greece had a claim on reparations. Reparations to individuals had been made by the 1960 payment. Claims for infrastructure damage were covered partly by the silence of the 1990 reunification agreement on reparations, which therefore were moot, partly also by the considerable transfers to Greece of international assistance in programs of European cooperation in the postwar years. The veracity of the Ludwig Erhard statement in 1965 was denied. (See Bundestag documents.)
Afterward, the matter has been regarded as closed by
the Federal Government of Germany.
One wonders: Why has not Greece been more insistent?
A possible reason is that it would take considerable political
courage to endanger what was otherwise a friendly relationship
between two governments with a sensitive and serious case like this.
Another matter is, why have so few voiced questions
regarding the German evasiveness in this matter? It is embarrassing
for Germany, and for all of Germany's friends. That does not make
Greece any more trustworthy in general economic affairs. But it does
point a way to a more amicable resolution of the current Greek-German
standoff.
In my view, reparations for individual suffering may, regrettably (and despite the law study cited), be regarded as settled with the 1960
agreement. The claim for damage to infrastructure needs to be
considered in real terms. In any case, the forced loan will have to be
repaid.
*) "Jus Cogens vs. State Immunity, Round Two: The Decision of the European Court of Human Rights in the Kalogeropoulou et al. v. Greece and Germany Decision." By Kerstin Bartsch and Björn Elberling. German Law Journal 2003 vol 4 no 5 pp 477-491.
3 comments:
Dear Olav, with the main thrust of your blog I completely agree. With respect to war reparations for the war damage to Greece's infrastructure, or the forced loan it is Germany that carries the palm in evasiveness and untruthfulness. It should honor its international obligations after all those years. Many thanks for your investigation of the facts.
However, in one detail points I beg to differ of opinion: Greece is certainly not the trigger for the Euro zone crisis.
The Euro-system of borrowing cheap loans fuelled domestic asset bubbles and worked as long as the asset prices kept rising. The problem arose when the inflow of capital suddenly stopped due a spread of the US financial contagion across the globe. The American sub-prime mortgage crisis was the trigger of the rising debt levels in almost every country in the world, especially in the Euro-periphery.
By recognizing Greek debt as a safe asset, they artificially increased demand for this asset. An artificial increase of demand resulted in too high exposure of EU banks to Greek debt, which is the reason behind a particularly delicate situation regarding the Greek default, as most private Greek debt holders are EU banks. It is their bankruptcy and/or nationalization, not the default itself that may prove to be the trigger for another depression.
The causes of the Eurozone crisis lie within several factors; large CA deficits due to the introduction of the euro and a misguided idea on how it was supposed to work, internal instabilities that used cheap borrowing to fund populist policies, a US crisis that lead to a sudden credit stop which emphasised the domestic instabilities, and finally a regulatory system that steered banks' investments into sovereign debt which caused the threat of default to be far greater than it usually is.
The so-called untrustworthiness of Greece is due to the lingering effect of the fraudulent dictatorial colonel-regimes and the subsequent fraudulent civilian governments: they were cooking the national budgetary statistics in all secrecy with the help of Goldman Sachs, hiding it for their own congress.
Charles, good to hear you agree on the main point of the article. On the euro, it is true the euro crisis had been brewing for some time, partly because the monetary system was never fully implemented as it should have been with a unified tax structure throughout the Union, partly because member countries never took their obligations seriously and allowed debts to accumulate during the first 5-6 years, and partly - as you say - because of the US collapse in 2008. But the rumblings of a real crisis got underway especially with the talk about PIGS. And the full crisis was triggered when the Greeks notified the EU Commission that their debt situation was far worse than the official figures until then had shown. Ireland was also in trouble, but Greece was the first to seek a bailout from the EU and IMF.
Dear Olav,
Thanks a lot for an interesting piece. I agree with most of what you say. One thing that struck me as surprising is the argument put forward by, as you write, “…prominent commentators…” that two such different things as compensation for war crimes and contemporary bilateral support of various kinds so easily can be placed at the same table . True, of course, it is politics, but is it really acceptable from a moral standpoint to argue that “we don’t have to pay reparations, since we have been kind to you in other areas”? Is it not the case that if you have a right to something (war reparations, for example), this right cannot be withdrawn, referring to kindness in other areas (which most likely have very different rationales)? If Greece is found to have the right to get additional compensation, this is a right, and should be carried out. If Greece then choses to use (part) of this compensation to pay back debts, this is, of course, up to Greece…
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